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不动产投资意愿普遍下滑
日期:2018年8月7日 浏览[]

交通银行昨日发布的《中国财富景气指数报告》显示,富裕家庭投资流动资产的意愿已成为“唯股”现象,而投资房地产的意愿创造了新的低点。


据统计,到目前为止,中国30个城市放宽了对购买的限制,占全部46个城市的65%,但放宽限购的效果有限。调查显示,小康家庭的房地产投资意愿比5月份低3个百分点,处于“衰退”区间。从该地区的角度来看,大部分国家的投资意愿都呈现出不同程度的下降,而北京、上海、广州、深圳等核心城市的房地产投资将比非核心城市下降,核心城市房地产投资意向指数首次陷入衰退。


值得注意的是,在限购之后,家庭(没有家庭的家庭和拥有一套住房的家庭)只需要表现出比多套房家庭更强的态度。交通银行首席经济学家联平分析了购房者在房价下跌过程中存在“买进不跌”的原因,很难在短期内显示出效果。连平指出,对于中国的房地产业来说,这是一个挤出一些局部泡沫的好机会。


就流动资产而言,对各类投资产品的投资意愿普遍下降,而股票投资意愿却逆势上升,表现突出。连平指出,近期银行融资、债券和基金回报率的下降,降低了富裕家庭投资大部分流动资产的意愿。股市信心上升的原因可能是由于市场环境的改善。连平分析,“在过去的5个月中,宏观经济的稳定趋势较好,市场流动性较为充裕,货币政策相对稳定和倾斜,以及上海港等良好预期,所有这些都创造了较好的外部环境。股票市场。”


The "report on China wealth prosperity index" issued by the Bank of communications yesterday shows that the willingness of the well-off families to invest in the current assets has emerged as a "only favoured stock" phenomenon, while the willingness to invest in real estate creates a new low.


According to statistics, so far 30 cities in China have relaxed the restrictions on purchases, accounting for 65% of all 46 cities, but the effect of the relaxation of restrictions on purchases is limited. The survey shows that the real estate investment willingness of well-off families is 3 percentage points lower than that in May, and is in the "recession" range. From the point of view of the region, most of the country has shown different degrees of decline in investment will, while Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen and other core cities of real estate investment will fall more than non core cities, the core city real estate investment intention index fell into the recession for the first time.


It is noteworthy that, after the restriction of the purchase, the family (no family family and a family holding a set of housing) just needs to show a stronger attitude than the multi suite family. The chief economist of the Bank of communications Lian Ping analyses the reason that house buyers have the mentality of "buying up and not falling" in the process of falling house prices, making it difficult to show the effect in the short term. Lian Ping pointed out that for China's real estate industry, this is a good opportunity to squeeze out some local bubbles.


In terms of current assets, the willingness to invest in various types of investment products has generally declined, while the stock investment willingness has risen against the trend and excelled. Lian Ping pointed out that recent declines in bank financing, bond and fund returns have reduced the willingness of well-off households to invest in most liquid assets. The reason for the rise in confidence in the stock market is probably due to the improvement of the market environment. Lian Ping analysis, "in the last 5 months, the macroeconomic stability in the better trend is clearer, the market liquidity is more abundant, the monetary policy is relatively stable and slant, and the Shanghai port and other good expectations, all of which have created a better external environment for the stock market."



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